Minggu, 20 Maret 2011

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How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking, by Jordan Ellenberg

The Freakonomics of math--a math-world superstar unveils the hidden beauty and logic of the world and puts its power in our hands

The math we learn in school can seem like a dull set of rules, laid down by the ancients and not to be questioned. In How Not to Be Wrong, Jordan Ellenberg shows us how terribly limiting this view is: Math isn't confined to abstract incidents that never occur in real life, but rather touches everything we do--the whole world is shot through with it.

Math allows us to see the hidden structures underneath the messy and chaotic surface of our world. It's a science of not being wrong, hammered out by centuries of hard work and argument. Armed with the tools of mathematics, we can see through to the true meaning of information we take for granted: How early should you get to the airport? What does "public opinion" really represent? Why do tall parents have shorter children? Who really won Florida in 2000? And how likely are you, really, to develop cancer?

How Not to Be Wrong presents the surprising revelations behind all of these questions and many more, using the mathematician's method of analyzing life and exposing the hard-won insights of the academic community to the layman--minus the jargon. Ellenberg chases mathematical threads through a vast range of time and space, from the everyday to the cosmic, encountering, among other things, baseball, Reaganomics, daring lottery schemes, Voltaire, the replicability crisis in psychology, Italian Renaissance painting, artificial languages, the development of non-Euclidean geometry, the coming obesity apocalypse, Antonin Scalia's views on crime and punishment, the psychology of slime molds, what Facebook can and can't figure out about you, and the existence of God.

Ellenberg pulls from history as well as from the latest theoretical developments to provide those not trained in math with the knowledge they need. Math, as Ellenberg says, is "an atomic-powered prosthesis that you attach to your common sense, vastly multiplying its reach and strength." With the tools of mathematics in hand, you can understand the world in a deeper, more meaningful way. How Not to Be Wrong will show you how.

  • Sales Rank: #23921 in Books
  • Brand: Penguin Press
  • Published on: 2014-05-29
  • Released on: 2014-05-29
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.50" h x 1.05" w x 6.45" l, 1.63 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 480 pages
Features
  • Penguin Press

From Booklist
*Starred Review* How many home runs can fans expect a league leader to hit after the All Star break? Why is the most handsome man around often the rudest? By exploring questions such as these, Ellenberg breaks through the widespread perception of mathematics as a narrowly academic pursuit, hopelessly irrelevant to the lives of ordinary people. Readers will indeed marvel at how often mathematics sheds unexpected light on economics (assessing the performance of investment advisors), public health (predicting the likely prevalence of obesity in 30 years), and politics (explaining why wealthy individuals vote Republican but affluent states go for Democrats). Relying on remarkably few technical formulas, Ellenberg writes with humor and verve as he repeatedly demonstrates that mathematics simply extends common sense. He manages to translate even the work of theoretical pioneers such as Cantor and G�del into the language of intelligent amateurs. The surprises that await readers include not only a discovery of the astonishing versatility of mathematical thinking but also a realization of its very real limits. Mathematics, as it turns out, simply cannot resolve the real-world ambiguities surrounding the Bush-Gore cliff-hanger of 2000, nor can it resolve the much larger question of God’s existence. A bracing encounter with mathematics that matters. --Bryce Christensen

Review
The New York Times:
“Lively prose….Refreshingly lucid while still remaining conceptually rigorous, this book lends insight into how mathematicians think — and shows us how we can start to think like mathematicians as well.”

Manil Suri,�The Washington Post:
“Brilliantly engaging.... Ellenberg’s talent for finding real-life situations that enshrine mathematical principles would be the envy of any math teacher. He presents these in fluid succession, like courses in a fine restaurant, taking care to make each insight shine through, unencumbered by jargon or notation. Part of the sheer intellectual joy of the book is watching the author leap nimbly from topic to topic, comparing slime molds to the Bush-Gore Florida vote, criminology to Beethoven’s Ninth Symphony. The final effect is of one enormous mosaic unified by mathematics.”

Mario Livio, The Wall Street Journal:
“Easy-to-follow, humorously presented.... This book will help you to avoid the pitfalls that result from not having the right tools. It will help you realize that mathematical reasoning permeates our lives—that it can be, as Mr. Ellenberg writes, a kind of 'X-ray specs that reveal hidden structures underneath the messy and chaotic surface of the world.'”

Evelyn Lamb, Scientific American:
“Witty, compelling, and just plain fun to read.... How Not to Be Wrong can help you explore your mathematical superpowers.”

Laura Miller, Salon:
“A poet-mathematician offers an empowering and entertaining primer for the age of Big Data.... A rewarding popular math book for just about anyone.”

Nature:
“Mathematicians from Charles Lutwidge Dodgson to Steven Strogatz have celebrated the power of mathematics in life and the imagination. In this hugely enjoyable exploration of everyday maths as 'an atomic-powered prosthesis that you attach to your common sense', Jordan Ellenberg joins their ranks. Ellenberg, an academic and Slate’s ‘Do the Math’ columnist, explains key principles with erudite gusto—whether poking holes in predictions of a US 'obesity apocalypse', or unpicking an attempt by psychologist B. F. Skinner to prove statistically that Shakespeare was a dud at alliteration.”

Bloomberg View:
“If you have a vacation coming up in August and you’re looking for a fun book to read that will also enlighten you, it would be hard to beat Jordan Ellenberg’s How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking.”

Times Higher Education:
“A fresh application of complex mathematical thinking to commonplace events.... How Not to Be Wrong is beautifully written, holding the reader’s attention throughout with well-chosen material, illuminating exposition, wit and helpful examples. I am reminded of the great writer of recreational mathematics, Martin Gardner: Ellenberg shares Gardner’s remarkable ability to write clearly and entertainingly, bringing in deep mathematical ideas without the reader registering their difficulty.”

Kirkus Reviews:
“The author avoids heavy jargon and relies on real-world anecdotes and basic equations and illustrations to communicate how even simple math is a powerful tool….[Ellenberg]writes that, at its core, math is a special thing and produces a feeling of understanding unattainable elsewhere: ‘You feel you’ve reached into the universe’s guts and put your hand on the wire.’ Math is profound, and profoundly awesome, so we should use it well—or risk being wrong….Witty and expansive, Ellenberg’s math will leave readers informed, intrigued and armed with plenty of impressive conversation starters.”

Booklist:
“Readers will indeed marvel at how often mathematics sheds unexpected light on economics (assessing the performance of investment advisors), public health (predicting the likely prevalence of obesity in 30 years), and politics (explaining why wealthy individuals vote Republican but affluent states go for Democrats). Relying on remarkably few technical formulas, Ellenberg writes with humor and verve as he repeatedly demonstrates that mathematics simply extends common sense. He manages to translate even the work of theoretical pioneers such as Cantor and G�del into the language of intelligent amateurs. The surprises that await readers include not only a discovery of the astonishing versatility of mathematical thinking but also a realization of its very real limits. Mathematics, as it turns out, simply cannot resolve the real-world ambiguities surrounding the Bush-Gore cliff-hanger of 2000, nor can it resolve the much larger question of God’s existence. A bracing encounter with mathematics that matters.”

Steven Pinker, Johnstone Family Professor of Psychology, Harvard University; author of How the Mind Works:
“The title of this wonderful book explains what it adds to the honorable genre of popular writing on mathematics. Like Lewis Carroll, George Gamow, and Martin Gardner before him, Jordan Ellenberg shows how mathematics can delight and stimulate the mind. But he also shows that mathematical thinking should be in the toolkit of every thoughtful person—of everyone who wants to avoid fallacies, superstitions, and other ways of being wrong.”

Steven Strogatz, Schurman Professor of Applied Mathematics, Cornell University, and author, The Joy of x:
“With math as with anything else, there’s smart, and then there’s street smart. This book will help you be both. Fans of Freakonomics and The Signal and the Noise will love Ellenberg’s surprising stories, snappy writing, and brilliant lessons in numerical savvy. How Not to Be Wrong is sharp, funny, and right.”

John Allen Paulos, author of Innumeracy and A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper:
“Through a powerful mathematical lens Jordan Ellenberg engagingly examines real-world issues ranging from the fetishizing of straight lines in the reporting of obesity to the game theory of missing flights, from the relevance to digestion of regression to the mean to the counter-intuitive Berkson’s paradox, which may explain why handsome men don’t seem to be as nice as not so handsome ones. The coverage is broad, but not shallow and the exposition is non-technical and sprightly.”

Timothy Gowers:
“Jordan Ellenberg is a top mathematician and a wonderful expositor, and the theme of his book is important and timely. How Not to Be Wrong is destined to be a classic.”

Rebecca Newberger Goldstein, author of Plato at the Googleplex:
“Jordan Ellenberg promises to share ways of thinking that are both simple to grasp and profound in their implications, and he delivers in spades. These beautifully readable pages delight and enlighten in equal parts. Those who already love math will eat it up, and those who don’t yet know how lovable math is are in for a most pleasurable surprise."

Danica McKellar, actress and bestselling author of Math Doesn’t Suck and Kiss My Math:
"Brilliant and fascinating! Ellenberg shows his readers how to magnify common sense using the tools usually only accessible to those who have studied higher mathematics. I highly recommend it to anyone interested in expanding their worldly savviness—and math IQ!"

About the Author
Jordan Ellenberg is the Vilas Distinguished Achievement Professor of Mathematics at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.�He has lectured around the world on his research�in number theory and delivered one of the plenary�addresses at the 2013 Joint Mathematics Meetings, the�largest math conference in the world. His writing has�appeared in�Wired,�The New York Times,�The Washington Post,�The Wall Street Journal,�The Boston Globe, and�The Believer, and�he has been featured on the�Today�show and NPR’s�All�Things Considered. He writes a popular column called “Do�the Math” for�Slate.

Most helpful customer reviews

269 of 291 people found the following review helpful.
"Mathematics is the extension of common sense by other means."
By BHB
I run across a lot of books that I add to my to-be-read list and then forget about until after their publication dates or I stumble upon the book in the library or bookstore. How Not to Be Wrong was initially one of those books, but it sounded so good that I found myself obsessively thinking about it and started a search for a pre-publication copy. Since I'm not a librarian, didn't win a copy via First Reads, and don't have friends at Penguin Press, it took some time and effort, but having procured a copy and read it, I can say that it was well worth my time and $6.00. How Not to Be Wrong is a catchy title, but for me, this book is really about the subtitle, The Power of Mathematical Thinking.

Ellenberg deftly explains why mathematics is important, gives the reader myriad examples applicable to our own lives, and also tells us what math can't do. He writes, “Mathematics is the extension of common sense by other means”, and proceeds to expound upon an incredible number of interesting subjects and how mathematics can help us better understand these topics, such as obesity, economics, reproducibility, the lottery, error-correcting codes, and the existence (or not) of God. He writes in a compelling, explanatory way that I think anyone with an interest in mathematics and/or simply understanding things more completely will be able to grasp. Ellenberg writes “Do the Math” for Slate, and it's evident in his column and this book that he knows how to explain mathematical ideas to non-mathematicians, and even more so, seems to enjoy doing so with great enthusiasm. I won't pretend that I understood everything discussed in this book, but it's such an excellent book that I also bought the hardcover (so I have an index which my pre-pub copy does not), and reread the book so I do have a much more thorough understanding. I've wished for a book like this for a long time, and I'd like to thank Jordan Ellenberg for writing it for me!

15 of 16 people found the following review helpful.
It helps to be a math major
By Norman A. West
My mistake. I thought is was going to be a more popularized version of the interface between mathematics the real world. It was there, I suppose, but the math was over my head and I felt somewhere between bewildered and stupid. Not an unusual condition for me, but the book didn't help much. I struggled through about half of it before deciding it was just too much work. I think my son-in-law might enjoy it more.
If you are going to enjoy the book, you should have an interest in mathematics for mathematics's sake and make the judgement of the book on that basis.
I'm probably not being fair to the author. It's a good book, but you should be aware of what you're getting.

26 of 28 people found the following review helpful.
Good book, but tends too focus on Misuse of Mathematics in Polls and Politics
By J. Groen
There are some interesting anecdotes in this book on the power of mathematical thinking. And, there are some mind twisting concepts. Here are two for you:
- Does .9999... = 1?
- Does the series +1-1+1-1+1-1... = 1/2?

There are additional concepts like this that will excite your mathematical mind (and I only recommend this book for individuals interested in mathematics). However, most of the book covers probability and statistics - e.g. expected value, Baynesian decision theory, hypothesis testing, etc. (which I love but you might not..) And, the book covers it with a political perspective, i.e. what is wrong with political polls and why statistics are mis-used in politics, etc.

I disagree with the reviews that mention this author's bias against conservatives. Although he may be a liberal, he doesn't bias his writing too much in any direction.

However, the continual discussion of use and misuse of mathematics in politics can get tiring.

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Jumat, 18 Maret 2011

[U621.Ebook] Free PDF Social Process - Scholar's Choice Edition, by Charles Horton Cooley

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  • Published on: 2015-02-08
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.69" h x .89" w x 7.44" l, 1.71 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 436 pages

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Kamis, 17 Maret 2011

[Q394.Ebook] PDF Download Audit Effectiveness: Meeting the IT Challenge, by Kamil Omoteso

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Audit Effectiveness: Meeting the IT Challenge, by Kamil Omoteso

In Audit Effectiveness, Dr Kamil Omoteso examines how information technology is changing the landscape for the audit profession as IT tools and techniques continue to be developed for auditors in the pursuit of quality, efficiency and effectiveness.

In addition to shedding light on practical subjects such as audit automation, continuous online auditing and computer auditing, this book introduces some theory that helps explain the motivation for the use of new tools and techniques, and assists understanding of their impact on the quality of audit judgment.

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Audit Effectiveness is for anyone practising in auditing or accounting automation, as well as for those with an academic or research interest in the challenges posed by technological advances for auditors in particular, and for managers in general.

  • Sales Rank: #2884145 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2013-08-28
  • Released on: 2013-08-28
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Review
'A much needed addition to the auditing field with its concentration on the challenges posed by IT systems to auditors and the business community. This book should prove invaluable to academics, students and practitioners given its highly readable and relevant content further enhanced by an excellent bibliography. The challenge of auditing IT covered, explained and explored in a highly relevant text for a world where the risks of getting IT systems and controls wrong cannot be ignored.'Hugh Coombs, University of Glamorgan, UK'Dr Kamil Omoteso's book is an important contribution in auditing and assurance services because of the rapid advances of IT in the financial market, importance of real-time reporting and increasing concerns for better and timelier assurance in corporate reporting.' Bahram Soltani, University of Paris 1 Sorbonne, France

About the Author
Kamil Omoteso received his PhD in Accounting Information Systems from De Montfort University, UK, where he was a Principal Lecturer & the Director of Postgraduate Programmes in Accounting at the University Business School. He is currently a Deputy Head at Coventry University and an External Examiner at two other UK universities. Dr Omoteso began his academic career in 2001 at Lagos State University, Nigeria, after five years working in an accounting practice. He has now taught auditing at undergraduate, postgraduate and professional levels for over 10 years. His research interests cover auditing, ICT impact on organisations, accountability and governance, and he currently supervises doctoral students within these research areas. Dr Omoteso is widely published. He serves as an Editorial Board member and a Reviewer for a number of journals and he is the Chair of the UK-based Centre for African Resources Research and Development.

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Sabtu, 12 Maret 2011

[C585.Ebook] Free PDF Daughters by Design: The Miracle Adoption of Two Cambodian Orphans, by Paula Jarot

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Daughters by Design: The Miracle Adoption of Two Cambodian Orphans, by Paula Jarot

Daughters by Design: The Miracle Adoption of Two Cambodian Orphans, by Paula Jarot



Daughters by Design: The Miracle Adoption of Two Cambodian Orphans, by Paula Jarot

Free PDF Daughters by Design: The Miracle Adoption of Two Cambodian Orphans, by Paula Jarot

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Daughters by Design: The Miracle Adoption of Two Cambodian Orphans, by Paula Jarot

Paula's mind raced: Adoption is not happening! I'm too old. I'm comfortable-an empty nester! I'm busy teaching. A nine-year-old? Why me? Desiring to do God's will, Paula searched in John Piper's "A Hunger for God" and wept when she read Isaiah 58:6-8 on giving shelter and food to the needy. Five weeks later, God led her to mother not just one, but two Cambodian orphans.

  • Sales Rank: #3943080 in Books
  • Published on: 2014-08-06
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.02" h x .46" w x 5.98" l, .66 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 200 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
Beautiful family! Inspirational story!
By Michel Waddell
I began reading Daughters By Design the evening I received it and didn't put it down until I had turned the last page. It was riveting. What a thrilling story of God's love and care for two Cambodian orphans through the obedience of an "older" missionary couple. Paul and Paula's genuine faith and simple obedience will touch your heart and challenge you to say "yes!" to God.

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3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
A Blessing to Hear the Rest of the Story
By Rachel
I was overjoyed when I found out Mrs. Jarot would be publishing a book about the amazing adoption journey she and her husband have been on with their girls. I had the great privilege of watching God work miracles the first few months the girls were in the Jarot home and then eagerly awaited His continued mercies as they struggled against all human odds to legally make the girls their own. It is a story that had to be shared. Nearly everyone who knows me has heard at least part of it and they all stand in amazement at what God has done. Watching this family and reading this book have given both my husband and myself the desire to expand our own family through adoption one day. It also opened my eyes to the need for people to adopt older children. Through it all the Lord is given all praise and glory and as much as this story is Mrs Jarot's or her girls'; it is ultimately about God's heart of love.

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
An adoption miracle!
By Judy Long
I love this story. It is real; honest and full of Christ-like parenting! If you have any thoughts about international adoption, you need to read this story.
December 2004 the Jarots were encouraged to seek out a young, precocious orphan in Cambodia. They followed the Lord's call; went to Cambodia and came back to their home in Thailand with not one, but two beautiful young girls. This story lovingly describes how these two girls became part of a family; captured the hearts of many; and became U.S. citizens against all odds. Miracle after miracle are described as the Jarots fought bureaucracy and overcame numerous barriers to legally adopt these girls. It is an amazing story and so well told. You will fall in love with them and shed a few tears along the way.

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